Positive Changes

The world today is marked by turbulence and changes unseen in a century. However，change itself is the very nature of development，as evidenced by the phrases "great unrest，division and overhaul" back in the 1960s and 1970s.

To paraphrase a traditional Chinese saying，one's eyes are easily dazzled by uncertainties. One must sort out every variable，dependent and independent before leveraging causal links. In the technology field，the relationship between the two variables is plain and simple: an independent "X" is always followed by a dependent "Y". On the social level，however，the correlation is more of probabilistic causation. Therefore，people have divergent opinions on causalities. Once a change，especially a visible one takes shape，there is an interplay of independent and dependent variables. The cause and effect are intertwined in a paradoxical co-existence and interaction，hence complicacies.

Wiseman tends to be forecasting and pointing out a positive development direction with a farsighted and big-picture philosophy. They seldom get stranded in the interplay，or dwell on short-term gains and losses since finding out common values of the variables holds the only key to induce positive changes.

In 2009，Niall Ferguson，a professor at Harvard University coined a term "Chinerica"，describing the symbiotic relationship between China and the United States. It is a concept that facilitates bilateral cooperation by identifying positive causal relationship in the differences of the two sides. Ferguson observed that the two nations can be structurally complementary in six aspects，including the U.S. financial capital and China's markets of scale，the U.S. high technology and China's application scenarios of manufacturing，the U.S. agricultural production and China's population，and the U.S. consumer culture and China's social preference for making savings. Being entangled in games of chance is in no way the only choice presented to the two countries.

Behind the logic of changes are interest and cultures with people at their core. For a positive change to happen，multiple factors are at play: put pros and cons in perspective，understanding and interpreting different cultures，especially the culture we are dealing with，and make rational decisions.