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Progress and Challenges during the Two-Way Opening Up of Finance in China

来源:《CHINA FOREX》 2021 Issue 3

The 5th Plenary Session of the 19th CPC Central Committee made a major decision and deployment to promote two-way opening up of finance. It has a strong guiding significance for the next period. With continuous introduction of higher-level opening-up policies as called "the bringing in",foreign investors continue to be optimistic about China’s financial market and boost their investment. Meanwhile,as Chinese financial corporations carry out foreign investment and financing business,they extend their global presence,and serve "the going out" of Chinese enterprises and renminbi internationalization. Entering the new era,the "going out" and "bringing in" of China financial industry confront new challenges. At present,the international economic and political pattern is undergoing profound changes,Sino-US relations are experiencing new challenges. The risks and uncertainties of international financial cooperation are rising,the financial regulatory review of western investment has been constantly tightened,and the prospect of economic recovery and geopolitical risks in the post epidemic era are difficult to predict. This paper focuses on the main problems and challenges faced by the two-way financial opening,not only from the "bringing in" to see the relevant demands of major international institutions but also from the "going out" to see the difficulties and common points faced by domestic institutions,and puts forward relevant policy suggestions.

Major Achievements have been made in the two-way opening up of the financial sector

"Bringing in" accelerates in recent years

Firstforeign investors are increasing the investment in Chinese financial market.  Foreign institutions mainly participate in the domestic financial market in three waysincluding interconnection mechanism (Shanghai-Hong Kong stock connect and Shenzhen-Hong Kong stock connect)QFII and local enterprises. With the steady improvement of China's opening-up levelforeign investors’ confidence in China's financial market has been increasing. According to Windforeign holdings of A-shares have reached 3.47 trillion yuan by the end of Augustequivalent to 4.7% of the outstanding market valueand foreign holdings of inter-bank market bonds have reached 3.41 trillion yuan by the end of Augustaccounting for 3.5% of the total custody value in the market. Government bonds and policy bank bonds account for about 85% of foreign investors' portfoliosand some 297 panda bonds have been issued with a total amount of 493.5 billion yuan. The issuers are from AsiaEuropeand North America. The types of panda bonds have expanded from international development institutions to foreign governmentfinancial firmsand non-financial enterprises.

Secondforeign financial firms actively set up local branches in China. With the steady implementation of financial policies such as relaxing the restrictions on the foreign sharesforeign financial firms begin to set up more branches in China and the pace of the establishment of wholly owned and joint ventures continue to accelerate. By the end of August44 joint venture fund companies and two wholly foreign-owned fund companies have been establishedthe number of foreign holding securities companies has increased to nineand four foreign controlled wealth management companies have been approved. JPMorgan Chase Futures and Allianz (China) Insurance have become the first wholly foreign-owned futures company and wholly foreign-owned insurance company respectively.

"Going out" sees a rapid progress during the past years

Firstthe depth and breadth of foreign financing business continue to improve. As the end of Juneoversea corporate bonds issued by Chinese firms has steadily increasedof which the cumulative issuance of USD and EUR denominated bonds are about US$1.5 trillion and EUR 85 billion respectively. Chinese financial firms have issued 153 bonds in developed markets (mainly in Luxembourg and London) with the issuance value about US$64.1 billionand USD and EUR denominated bonds accounting for 67% and 20% respectively. There are overseas 23 IPOs by Chinese financial firmsraising about US$ 9.07 billionaccounting for nearly 50% of IPOs in the US and UK markets respectively. Four Global Depositary Receipts (GDRs) have been issued under the "Shanghai-London Stock Connect" mechanismactively subscribed by international investorsand raised US$ 5.84 billion.

SecondChinese financial firms focus on serving enterprises to "go out". There are 41% and 31% of QDII portfolios being invested in the US and Hong Kong stock market respectivelyand the assets are closely linked to the Chinese economy. "Going out" funds prefer investment-grade bondshigh-yield bondsand perpetual bonds. Commercial banks usually use own cross-border fund pool to conduct investmentwhile other financial institutions prefer to make use of QDII and RQDII quota.

ThirdChinese financial firms actively carry out global layout by setting foreign branches or M&A. This also helps serve local non-financial enterprises to do business global and promote renminbi internationalization. HoweverChinese financial firms are less competitive than their international counterparts in business such as investment bankingasset management and serving high wealth customer. Their overseas business is generally less profitable than the domestic business.

Attention should be paid to the problems of two-way opening up in the financial sector

"Going out" is facing the complex international situation in the post COVID era

Firstuncertainty increases as the traditional Sino-US cooperation pattern is challenged. In the context of more Sino-US  co-opetition (known as competition and cooperation)Chinese financial firms are more sensitive to the political sanctions risks initiated by the USand the subsequent extreme situation response mechanism are often accompanied with a high cost.

Secondglobal macroeconomic risks have risen. In the post epidemic eraglobal economic recovery is more challenging. With the risk of potential inflation and taper decision in the US is risingthe uncertainty of the financial market increasesand this brings more difficulty for Chinese firms to conduct the financing. At the same timedeveloped economies continue to implement quantitative easing monetary policyand this leads to higher credit risk and lower asset return. In the coming periodas the Federal Reserve begins to turn to taper and tighten the liquidityemerging markets would be greatly affected.

Thirdthe risk of government review continues to increase. In recent yearsthe EU has issued several compliance regulations on anti-money launderingtaxationcapitalliquidity and data protectionand financial supervision has been continuously tightened. The latest EU Capital Requirements Directive stipulates that the group of third country financial firms shall set up intermediate parent undertaking within the EU within the specified timeand some globally important banks will be directly supervised by the ECB. To prevent arbitragethe EU has increasingly tightened regulations on the subsidiary banking of third country brancheswhich has a great impact on the operation of China's financial firms in Europe. Brexit affects Chinese institutions’ prediction of the prospects of British and European financial markets. In the short termBrexit has limited interference on the exhibition and license application of Chinese financial firms in the UK and Europebut the follow-up UK-EU financial service agreementthe new regulatory policiesand the changes in the credit risk of European customers will have a continuous impact on China's financial branches in these areas.

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